Matt Damon's Gonna Be Pissed

The Dark Knight Won’t Sink The Titanic

Enough is enough. I’m calling it so we can all move on – The Dark Knight WILL NOT beat the domestic gross of Titanic. It’s just not going to happen, $15 IMAX ticket sellouts or not. At 342mil, the film is still about 60mil away from eclipsing 2002′s Spider-Man and more than 80mil from 2006′s Dead Man’s Chest, and about to enter it’s third week of release – the week where even well performing films slow down considerably no matter how popular.

1997′s Titanic, in contrast, started slow – built over a series of weeks, slowed down, then won a record amount of Oscars, giving the film it’s second best day of its entire run 56 days into release at a measly 13.1mil. A recent E! Online article highlights how Titanic grew its audience over time, rather than play the “How Much Audience Can We Keep Week-to-Week” game of recent challengers…

  • Opener smaller than The Flintstones. (Titanic is the 238th “biggest” of all time)
  • Play at fewer theaters, at your peak, than Lost in Space.
  • Never, ever make more than $13.6 million in a single day.
  • Post your second-biggest day ($13.1 million) on your 58th day in release.
  • Instead of falling by 50 percent in your second weekend, go up by 24 percent.
  • Go up by 25 percent in your fifth weekend.
  • Don’t sell fewer than $1 million worth of tickets until…day 102.

Bottom Line: The way to 600mil is to build an audience with repeat customers who bring friends week-to-week. A portion of The Dark Knight’s audience is returning, no doubt – but they aren’t bringing friends the second time around.

4 Comments, Comment or Ping

  1. I went a second time, and brought some friends with me :)

    Also, thinking about a break than going to Imax with more friends.

  2. Grundy

    Once is enough for me.

  3. That’s what she said.

  4. Grundy

    They all say that.

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